极端天气对海南岛橡胶林物候的影响

梁月华; 王艺宸; 王自芹; 崔嵬; 乌兰; 孙仲益

doi:10.15886/j.cnki.rdswxb.20240055

极端天气对海南岛橡胶林物候的影响

doi: 10.15886/j.cnki.rdswxb.20240055

梁月华¹,
王艺宸¹,
王自芹¹,
崔嵬²,
乌兰^1,3,
孙仲益^1,3, ,

1. 海南大学生态学院, 海口 570203;
2. 国家林业和草原局发展研究中心, 北京 100714;
3. 海南省农林环境过程与生态调控重点实验室, 海口 570228

基金项目:

国家自然科学基金青年科学基金项目(42101101)

国家自然科学基金地区科学基金项目(32160320)

海南省“南海新星”科技创新人才平台项目(NHXXRCXM202303)

详细信息

第一作者:
梁月华(1999-),女,硕士。研究方向:热带森林的全球变化响应。E-mail:22210713000022@hainanu.edu.cn

通信作者:
孙仲益(1989-),男,博士,副教授。研究方向:碳循环与陆地生态系统建模。E-mail:gis.rs@hainanu.edu.cn

中图分类号: Q948

The impact of extreme weather on the phenology of rubber plantations in Hainan Island, China

1. School of Ecology, Hainan University, Haikou, Hainan 570203;
2. Development Research Center of State Forestry and Grassland Administration, Beijing 100714;
3. Hainan Key Laboratory of Environmental Processes and Ecological Regulation in Agriculture and Forestry, Haikou, Hainan 570228, China

摘要: 随着气候变化的加剧，极端天气事件频率和强度均有所增加，其对生态系统结构和功能的影响远高于渐进的趋势变化。热带森林作为陆地生态系统的重要组成部分，其物候对于气候变化的响应始终为研究热点，但由于其高植物多样性与常绿性特征而无法统一科学发现。本研究以物候特征明显的纯林橡胶林为研究切入点，逐像元多曲线拟合橡胶林物候，通过机器学习等手段筛选了物候响应敏感的极端天气事件，揭示了2003—2018年期间的春季物候（Start of growing Season, SOS）、秋季物候（End of growing Season, EOS）和极端天气事件的时空分布模式；基于偏相关性分析，探究了极端气候指数对物候的影响。结果表明：（1）研究期间海南岛橡胶林SOS多以0.73 d·a^-1的趋势提前，EOS多以0.60 d·a^-1的趋势推迟；少数极冷事件呈逐年增加趋势，而极热事件则呈相反趋势；（2）极端昼夜温度是影响SOS、EOS的主要因素，冷夜日数（TN10p）、冷日日数（TX10p）与SOS呈正相关，而暖夜日数（TN90p）、暖日日数（TX90p）与SOS呈负相关；TN10p、TN90p、TX90p与EOS呈正相关，但TX10p与EOS呈负相关；（3）SOS、EOS对不同强度和频率的极端天气事件的响应在空间上存在明显的东西差异。本研究结果表明考虑极端天气因素能够增进对热带森林结构与功能响应气候变化的理解。
- 极端温度 /
- 极端降水 /
- 时空分布 /
- MODIS EVI /
- 人工林管理
Abstract: With the intensification of climate change, the frequency and intensity of extreme weather events have increased, and their impacts on ecosystem structure and function far exceeds those of gradual trend changes. As an important component of terrestrial ecosystems, the phenological response of tropical forests to climate change has always been a research hotspot. However, due to their high plant diversity and evergreen characteristics, scientific findings have not been consolidated. This study focuses on monoculture rubber plantations with distinct phenological characteristics as an entry point. Extreme weather events sensitive to phenological responses were selected by fitting multi-curves pixel-by-pixel to rubber plantations phenology and employing machine learning techniques to reveal the spatiotemporal distribution patterns of spring phenology（Start of growing Season, SOS）, autumn phenology（End of growing Season, EOS）, and extreme weather events during 2003—2018. The impacts of climate extreme indices on phenology were analyzed based on partial correlation analysis. The results show that the SOS of rubber plantations in Hainan Island advanced by an average of 0.73 d·a-1, while the EOS was delayed by 0.60 d·a-1. A few extreme cold events showed an increasing trend, while extremely hot events showed the opposite trend. The days of extreme daytime and night-time temperatures were the main factors affecting SOS and EOS; the number of days with low day-time temperature（TN10p） and the number of days with low night-time temperature（TX10p） were positively correlated with SOS, while the number of days with warm day-time temperature（TN90p） and the number of days with warm night-time temperature（TX90p） were negatively correlated with SOS; TN10p, TN90p, and TX90p were positively correlated with EOS, but TX10p was negatively correlated with EOS. The responses of SOS and EOS to extreme weather events with different intensities and frequencies exhibited obvious east-west differences in space. All these findings showed that it can enhance our understanding of the response of tropical forest structure and function to climate change when extreme weather factors are considered.
- extreme temperature /
- extreme precipitation /
- spatiotemporal distribution /
- MODIS EVI /
- plantation management

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极端天气对海南岛橡胶林物候的影响

doi: 10.15886/j.cnki.rdswxb.20240055

第一作者:
梁月华(1999-),女,硕士。研究方向:热带森林的全球变化响应。E-mail:22210713000022@hainanu.edu.cn

通信作者:
孙仲益(1989-),男,博士,副教授。研究方向:碳循环与陆地生态系统建模。E-mail:gis.rs@hainanu.edu.cn

The impact of extreme weather on the phenology of rubber plantations in Hainan Island, China

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极端天气对海南岛橡胶林物候的影响

doi: 10.15886/j.cnki.rdswxb.20240055

1. 海南大学生态学院, 海口 570203;

2. 国家林业和草原局发展研究中心, 北京 100714;

3. 海南省农林环境过程与生态调控重点实验室, 海口 570228

作者简介:
梁月华(1999-),女,硕士。研究方向:热带森林的全球变化响应。E-mail:22210713000022@hainanu.edu.cn

通讯作者: 孙仲益(1989-),男,博士,副教授。研究方向:碳循环与陆地生态系统建模。E-mail:gis.rs@hainanu.edu.cn

English Abstract

The impact of extreme weather on the phenology of rubber plantations in Hainan Island, China

1. School of Ecology, Hainan University, Haikou, Hainan 570203;

2. Development Research Center of State Forestry and Grassland Administration, Beijing 100714;

3. Hainan Key Laboratory of Environmental Processes and Ecological Regulation in Agriculture and Forestry, Haikou, Hainan 570228, China

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留言板

极端天气对海南岛橡胶林物候的影响

doi: 10.15886/j.cnki.rdswxb.20240055

第一作者: 梁月华(1999-),女,硕士。研究方向:热带森林的全球变化响应。E-mail:22210713000022@hainanu.edu.cn

通信作者: 孙仲益(1989-),男,博士,副教授。研究方向:碳循环与陆地生态系统建模。E-mail:gis.rs@hainanu.edu.cn

The impact of extreme weather on the phenology of rubber plantations in Hainan Island, China

计量

出版历程

极端天气对海南岛橡胶林物候的影响

doi: 10.15886/j.cnki.rdswxb.20240055

1. 海南大学 生态学院, 海口 570203; 2. 国家林业和草原局发展研究中心, 北京 100714; 3. 海南省农林环境过程与生态调控重点实验室, 海口 570228

作者简介: 梁月华(1999-),女,硕士。研究方向:热带森林的全球变化响应。E-mail:22210713000022@hainanu.edu.cn

通讯作者: 孙仲益(1989-),男,博士,副教授。研究方向:碳循环与陆地生态系统建模。E-mail:gis.rs@hainanu.edu.cn

English Abstract

The impact of extreme weather on the phenology of rubber plantations in Hainan Island, China

1. School of Ecology, Hainan University, Haikou, Hainan 570203; 2. Development Research Center of State Forestry and Grassland Administration, Beijing 100714; 3. Hainan Key Laboratory of Environmental Processes and Ecological Regulation in Agriculture and Forestry, Haikou, Hainan 570228, China

全文HTML

目录

第一作者:
梁月华(1999-),女,硕士。研究方向:热带森林的全球变化响应。E-mail:22210713000022@hainanu.edu.cn

通信作者:
孙仲益(1989-),男,博士,副教授。研究方向:碳循环与陆地生态系统建模。E-mail:gis.rs@hainanu.edu.cn

1. 海南大学生态学院, 海口 570203;

2. 国家林业和草原局发展研究中心, 北京 100714;

3. 海南省农林环境过程与生态调控重点实验室, 海口 570228

作者简介:
梁月华(1999-),女,硕士。研究方向:热带森林的全球变化响应。E-mail:22210713000022@hainanu.edu.cn

1. School of Ecology, Hainan University, Haikou, Hainan 570203;

2. Development Research Center of State Forestry and Grassland Administration, Beijing 100714;

3. Hainan Key Laboratory of Environmental Processes and Ecological Regulation in Agriculture and Forestry, Haikou, Hainan 570228, China